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Some have Christmas in July… I have Financial Review in July… welcome to Buy or Bye July!
I hesitate to think what this might say about my inner Judeo-Christian vs consumer/capitalistic views.
Anyway, here we are already at the halfway point of another year, WTH!!
Given this fact, it’s a great time for us to review and reflect on financial successes and failures in our personal money affairs. How is your personal “business” performing? Is your future looking bright or cloudy? Does money management leave you feeling calm and in control, or full of inner turmoil?
Practically speaking, our day-to-day life and lifestyle is hugely impacted by the moolah… cheddar… brass… bread… the clams we have in our pockets and under our mattresses. What we can spend depends immensely on what we save, and invest.
I follow the Fiddler on the Roof approach:
Perchik: Money is the world’s curse.
Tevye: May the Lord smite me with it. And may I never recover!
I was out kayaking on Okanagan Lake this beautiful summer morning and shed some inferiority tears as we paddled past some fortunate souls’ lakefront mansions… people who don’t appear to have any difficulties or concerns in the money realm. Sadly, I’m just a poor boy from a poor family, you know, Freddie Mercury-style.
I tend to concentrate my investment efforts in stock markets, so of course, this is where I’ll direct my focus today.
With its unpredictable nature, the stock market is both exciting and challenging, and 2023 has been no different. Let’s take a look under the hood of 2023 so far and perhaps explore some valuable lessons learned along the way.
- Embracing Volatility: A Rollercoaster Ride
The first half of 2023 has been nothing short of a rollercoaster ride for investors. The stock market experienced significant volatility due to various factors, such as economic recovery, inflation concerns, and geopolitical tensions… thanks Comrade Putin!
It’s easy to become unhinged and irrational but this turbulence teaches us the importance of staying calm amidst market fluctuations and not making impulsive decisions driven by short-term emotions.
All of the major North American and British stock indices are up, but by an astonishing variation in amounts:
DOW 30 up 3.8% (U.S)
S&P 500 up 17.0% (U.S.)
NASDAQ up 39.0% (U.S.)
TSX 60 up 3.9% (Canada)
FTSE 100 up 1.1% (U.K.)
- Sector Performance: Shaping Investment Strategies
The first half of 2023 presented varying performances across different sectors.
Tech giants like Apple and Amazon in the U.S., and Shopify and Lightspeed in Canada played a significant role in driving the market. Apple’s stock price experienced a gain of approximately 49% during the first half of the year, while Amazon’s stock price increased by approximately 52%. The strong performance of these companies powered the NASDAQ Composite to new highs, with a gain of an eye-popping 39% for the first half of the year.
- The Canadian Housing Market: A Consideration
While not directly related to the stock market, the Canadian housing market has been a significant factor influencing the overall financial landscape. Despite some cooling measures implemented by the government, housing prices (and interest rates) continued to rise, posing challenges for potential homebuyers. Investors with exposure to real estate investment trusts (REITs) or companies tied to the housing market may have experienced mixed results, depending on their specific holdings.
- Lessons Learned: Patience and Long-Term Perspective
With each of these regular “money blogs” I write, I typically share my personal returns with you so you can experience my alternating bouts of glory and shame… last year’s numbers were mostly shame. Any number I see with a minus sign in front does not make me smile.
Like a timid February groundhog, I slipped above ground, chirped out my negative results, and then disappeared red-faced back into my dark warren, hoping for a better day.
And the better day I wished for has arrived…
In the first six months of 2023, I’ve got a bit of some lovely glory to parade, so this groundhog will lounge about in the sun and bask for just a few minutes. Here goes:
My RRSP gain for the last six months was 33.4% and my TFSA trailed well behind at 3.0%. (For non-Canucks, these acronyms represent the main retirement accounts available in Canada).
Remember me mentioning the strength of Apple and Amazon (above)? This explains my hearty RRSP performance, which is largely in American stocks, while my TFSA is concentrated in Canadian shares which have barely budged so far this year.
I hope if you’ve checked your investment or retirement funds, you matched or bettered mine… please send me some of your magic fairy dust!
One of the most valuable lessons I’ve learned from the market’s ups and downs over many years is the importance of patience and adopting a long-term perspective. Timing the market consistently is virtually impossible, and attempting to do so can lead to missed opportunities and unnecessary stress.
Instead, focusing on fundamental analysis, identifying quality companies, and staying invested for the long haul really is a more reliable strategy. Let’s save the Vegas approach for when we’re actually in Vegas, OK?
Staying focused on long-term goals and being patient can help us weather the fluctuations and achieve financial success, and a lower stress period of retirement.
Tech giants like Apple and Amazon, along with the strong performance of the NASDAQ Composite, have demonstrated the potential for significant gains in the technology sector. However, it’s important to maintain a diversified portfolio and consider the performance of other sectors as well. Do your homework or hire someone you strongly trust to do it for you.
Remember, investing is a journey, and half a year is just a snapshot. By remaining vigilant, adaptable, and committed to learning from our experiences, we can continue to grow and thrive as investors in the stock market world.
To be a “Wealthy Barber”, we really just need to avoid nasty haircuts… being financially bald is NOT a good look for any of us!
HO HO HO… Merry Christmas to you in July… Bye Buy Baby Bye Buy!
In the realm of stocks, Apple takes flight,
AI's innovation, a futuristic light,
Canadian banks, pillars of financial might,
In 2023, stock market's sweetest flight,
Investment joys, a rewarding sight.